The repository studies the evolution and the determinants of real GDP forecasts during the Covid-19 pandemic. In contrast with the early performance during recessions, forecasters were pessimistic during the summer period and with significant differences across institution.
Evolution of Global (weighted) GDP growth forecasts:
Umberto Collodel (umberto.collodel@gmail.com)
R
The folder contains:
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Main Source
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Preparation datasets
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Comparison between Consensus, World Bank and WEO
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Digging into June pessimism: source of errors and uncertainty
The main sourcing file runs the entire project. The main file of each section cleans the global environment, installs and loads the packages required and sources all the scripts in the section. The function file contains custom functions used in the sections. Individual files run the functions and export the output.
The data and codes are under the MIT license. This means that you can use everything as you please for research or commercial purposes, as long as you refer back to us.
If you find irregularities or bugs, please open an issue here.