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information-asymmetry

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A comprehensive bundle of utilities for the estimation of probability of informed trading models: original PIN in Easley and O'Hara (1992) and Easley et al. (1996); Multilayer PIN (MPIN) in Ersan (2016); Adjusted PIN (AdjPIN) in Duarte and Young (2009); and volume-synchronized PIN (VPIN) in Easley et al. (2011, 2012). Implementations of various …

  • Updated Dec 17, 2025
  • R

An evidentiary policy paper analysing systemic fragility in UK higher education through the lens of Akerlof’s ‘lemons’ market. Examines opaque rankings and think tanks as conflicted intermediaries, and proposes fiduciary openness, ratings reform, and stress testing to safeguard systemic stability.

  • Updated Aug 21, 2025

End-to-end Python replication of 'The Value of Information: A Puzzle' (Kadan et. al, 2026). Estimates equilibrium dollar value of private information in US equity markets via discrete quadratic covariation of 1-min NYSE TAQ price changes & signed order flow. Implements CLNV trade signing, Amihud filtering, 2-way FE regressions, & SDF entropy bounds

  • Updated May 17, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

End-to-end Python computational engine for qualitative financial modeling implementing Bočková et al. (2025) methodology. Employs Constraint Satisfaction Problems (CSP) and graph theory to model the impact of rumours on financial systems. Professional-grade codebase with extensive validation and customization capabilities.

  • Updated Sep 6, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

This simulation models the interactions between buyers and sellers in a market using a discrete Markov chain. The market consists of regular sellers and a fraction of opportunistic sellers who may deceive the buyers. The simulation tracks the evolution of buyer perception over time, influenced by encounters with these opportunistic sellers.

  • Updated Jul 16, 2024
  • Mathematica

Research and diagnostic data documenting how historical disinformation, when encoded into AI and financial algorithms, ceases to be a narrative and becomes a Systemic Risk Contagion. Using the cannabis industry as a high-fidelity case study for model recalibration in emerging and stigmatized markets.

  • Updated Jun 3, 2026

Independent documentation audit of Australia’s COVID-19 vaccine safety monitoring under provisional approval (68.4M doses, ~91% rollout). Four-year FOI investigation found Cabinet-endorsed “enhanced monitoring” unverifiable as distinct, tracked processes. Information Commissioner confirmed absence. ISO 19011:2018 principles; falsifiable methodology

  • Updated Jun 7, 2026
  • HTML

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