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Fix h2 peak in buildings #1654

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Fix h2 peak in buildings #1654

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0298100
Implement fix for H2-peak in buildings; zero Phase-In-costs in calibr…
ricardarosemann Mar 21, 2024
bf7e030
Zero H2 Phase-In costs for buildings during calibration now hard-code…
ricardarosemann Mar 21, 2024
106dcaf
Fix hard-coded zero Phase-In costs
ricardarosemann Apr 2, 2024
4077280
Merge branch 'develop' of github.com:remindmodel/remind into fix-H2-peak
ricardarosemann May 8, 2024
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion config/default.cfg
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Expand Up @@ -30,7 +30,7 @@ cfg$extramappings_historic <- ""
cfg$inputRevision <- "6.70"

#### Current CES parameter and GDX revision (commit hash) ####
cfg$CESandGDXversion <- "cdddb54b54a8586b4fef00eb60a3be6cfa23ca55"
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for which scenarios did you run the calibration?

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I ran the calibration for H12, EU21 and PBS and I'm planning to redo this once I've merged the trunk. Should I test the calibration with further scenarios?

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hopefully, we will have pbs as default soon and then I will anyway run new calibrations for all other scenarios. I think, for now SSP2EU is enough

cfg$CESandGDXversion <- "26b64ac550044570469168f1dd3bf236c6b2e12f"

#### Force the model to download new input data ####
cfg$force_download <- FALSE
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1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions config/gdx-files/files
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Expand Up @@ -9,5 +9,6 @@ indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SDP_EI-GDP_gdp_SDP_EI-En_gdp_S
indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP5-GDP_gdp_SSP5-En_gdp_SSP5-Kap_debt_limit-Reg_62eff8f7.gdx
indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP2EU-GDP_gdp_SSP2EU-En_gdp_SSP2EU-Kap_debt_limit-Reg_2b1450bc.gdx
indu_subsectorspbs-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP2EU-GDP_gdp_SSP2EU-En_gdp_SSP2EU-Kap_debt_limit-Reg_62eff8f7.gdx
indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP2EU-GDP_gdp_SSP2EU-En_gdp_SSP2EU-Kap_debt_limit-H2zero-Reg_62eff8f7.gdx
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why are you adding a new calibration file? The aim is that this will be the new default, right? This is only a temporal solution?

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Yes, this will be deleted. I already took a note (somewhere) that I should remember to delete all this. Thanks for reminding me again.



112 changes: 56 additions & 56 deletions config/scenario_config.csv
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56 changes: 56 additions & 0 deletions config/scenario_config_H2zero.csv
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion core/bounds.gms
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Expand Up @@ -519,7 +519,7 @@ v_shfe.lo(t,regi,entyFe,sector)$pm_shfe_lo(t,regi,entyFe,sector) = pm_shfe_lo(t,
v_shGasLiq_fe.up(t,regi,sector)$pm_shGasLiq_fe_up(t,regi,sector) = pm_shGasLiq_fe_up(t,regi,sector);
v_shGasLiq_fe.lo(t,regi,sector)$pm_shGasLiq_fe_lo(t,regi,sector) = pm_shGasLiq_fe_lo(t,regi,sector);

*** RH: Fix H2 in buildings to zero until given year (always zero by default)
*** RH: Fix H2 in buildings to zero until given year (until 2025 by default)
vm_demFeSector.up(t,regi,"seh2","feh2s","build",emiMkt)$(t.val le c_H2InBuildOnlyAfter) = 0;

***----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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3 changes: 2 additions & 1 deletion core/sets.gms
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Expand Up @@ -921,6 +921,7 @@ $endif.altFeEmiFac
***######################## R SECTION START (MODULES) ###############################
*** THIS CODE IS CREATED AUTOMATICALLY, DO NOT MODIFY THESE LINES DIRECTLY
*** ANY DIRECT MODIFICATION WILL BE LOST AFTER NEXT MODEL START
*** CHANGES CAN BE DONE USING THE RESPECTIVE LINES IN scripts/start/prepare.R

sets

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -960,7 +961,7 @@ sets
codePerformance
/

module2realisation(modules,*) "mapping of modules and active realisations" /
module2realisation(modules,*) "mapping of modules and active realisations" /
macro . %macro%
welfare . %welfare%
PE_FE_parameters . %PE_FE_parameters%
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion main.gms
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Expand Up @@ -951,7 +951,7 @@ parameter
parameter
c_H2InBuildOnlyAfter "Switch to fix H2 in buildings to zero until given year"
;
c_H2InBuildOnlyAfter = 2150; !! def = 2150 (rule out H2 in buildings)
c_H2InBuildOnlyAfter = 2025; !! def = 2025
*' For all years until the given year, FE demand for H2 in buildings is set to zero
parameter
c_peakBudgYr "date of net-zero CO2 emissions for peak budget runs without overshoot"
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8 changes: 4 additions & 4 deletions modules/29_CES_parameters/calibrate/datainput.gms
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Expand Up @@ -307,12 +307,12 @@ $ifthen.build_H2_offset "%buildings%" == "simple"

*** RK: feh2b offset scaled from 1% in 2025 to 50% in 2050 of fegab quantity
loop ((t,regi),
pm_cesdata(t,regi,"feh2b","offset_quantity")
= - (0.05 + 0.45 * min(1, max(0, (t.val - 2025) / (2050 - 2025))))
pm_cesdata(t,regi,"feh2b","offset_quantity")
= - (0.05 + 0.45 * min(1, (t.val - 2025) * max(0, (t.val - 2025) / (2080 - 2025)**2)))
* pm_cesdata(t,regi,"fegab","quantity")
- pm_cesdata(t,regi,"feh2b","quantity");
pm_cesdata(t,regi,"feh2b","quantity")
= (0.05 + 0.45 * min(1, max(0, (t.val - 2025) / (2050 - 2025))))
pm_cesdata(t,regi,"feh2b","quantity")
= (0.05 + 0.45 * min(1, (t.val - 2025) * max(0, (t.val - 2025) / (2080 - 2025)**2)))
* pm_cesdata(t,regi,"fegab","quantity");
);
$endif.build_H2_offset
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion modules/29_CES_parameters/load/datainput.gms
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Expand Up @@ -8,7 +8,7 @@
*** Load CES parameters based on current model configuration
*** ATTENTION the file name is replaced by the function start_run()
*##################### R SECTION START (CES INPUT) ##########################
$include "./modules/29_CES_parameters/load/input/indu_subsectorspbs-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP2EU-GDP_gdp_SSP2EU-En_gdp_SSP2EU-Kap_debt_limit-Reg_62eff8f7.inc"
$include "./modules/29_CES_parameters/load/input/indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP2EU-GDP_gdp_SSP2EU-En_gdp_SSP2EU-Kap_debt_limit-Reg_62eff8f7.inc"
*###################### R SECTION END (CES INPUT) ###########################

option pm_cesdata:8:3:1;
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1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions modules/29_CES_parameters/load/input/files
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Expand Up @@ -8,6 +8,7 @@ indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SDP_EI-GDP_gdp_SDP_EI-En_gdp_S
indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP5-GDP_gdp_SSP5-En_gdp_SSP5-Kap_debt_limit-Reg_62eff8f7.inc
indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP2EU-GDP_gdp_SSP2EU-En_gdp_SSP2EU-Kap_debt_limit-Reg_2b1450bc.inc
indu_subsectorspbs-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP2EU-GDP_gdp_SSP2EU-En_gdp_SSP2EU-Kap_debt_limit-Reg_62eff8f7.inc
indu_subsectors-buil_simple-tran_edge_esm-POP_pop_SSP2EU-GDP_gdp_SSP2EU-En_gdp_SSP2EU-Kap_debt_limit-H2zero-Reg_62eff8f7.inc



11 changes: 2 additions & 9 deletions modules/36_buildings/simple/bounds.gms
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Expand Up @@ -10,16 +10,9 @@
v36_costExponent.up(t,regi) = 20;


*** FS: no H2 in buildings before 2050
vm_demFeSector_afterTax.up('2010',regi,'seh2','feh2s','build','ES') = 0;
vm_demFeSector_afterTax.up('2015',regi,'seh2','feh2s','build','ES') = 0;
vm_demFeSector_afterTax.up('2020',regi,'seh2','feh2s','build','ES') = 1e-5;
vm_demFeSector_afterTax.up('2025',regi,'seh2','feh2s','build','ES') = 1e-5;


*** Assure that h2 penetration is not high in calibration so the extra t&d cost can be considered by the model. In case contrary, H2 is competitive against gas in buildings and industry even during calibration.
*** Fix H2 Phase-In costs to zero for calibration runs
$ifthen.CES_calibration "%CES_parameters%" == "calibrate"
v36_H2share.up(t,regi) = cm_build_H2costDecayStart;
v36_costAddH2LowPen.fx(t,regi) = 0;
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is v36_costAddH2LowPen still needed or coud it be deleted?

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It is still needed for non-calibration runs. And in the current implementation it needs to be set to zero for a calibration run to make sure that no Phase-In costs are included.

$endif.CES_calibration


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2 changes: 2 additions & 0 deletions modules/36_buildings/simple/declarations.gms
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Expand Up @@ -25,13 +25,15 @@ Variables
Positive Variables
v36_expSlack(ttot,all_regi) "slack variable to avoid overflow on too high logistic function exponent"
v36_H2share(ttot,all_regi) "H2 share in gases"
v36_avgH2share(ttot, all_regi) "Average of the H2 share from this and the previous time period"
v36_costAddH2LowPen(ttot,all_regi) "low penetration H2 mark up component"
v36_costAddTeInvH2(ttot,all_regi,all_te) "Additional H2 phase-in cost at low H2 penetration levels [trUSD]"
;

Equations
q36_demFeBuild(ttot,all_regi,all_enty,all_emiMkt) "buildings final energy demand"
q36_H2Share(ttot,all_regi) "H2 share in gases"
q36_avgH2share(ttot, all_regi) "Computation of average of the H2 share from this and the previous time period"
q36_auxCostAddTeInv(ttot,all_regi) "logistic function exponent calculation for additional cost at low H2 penetration"
q36_costAddH2LowPen(ttot,all_regi) "additional annual investment costs under low H2 penetration in buildings"
q36_costAddH2PhaseIn(ttot,all_regi) "additional industry H2 t&d cost at low H2 penetration in buildings"
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24 changes: 19 additions & 5 deletions modules/36_buildings/simple/equations.gms
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Expand Up @@ -41,32 +41,46 @@ q36_costAddH2PhaseIn(t,regi)..
+ (v36_expSlack(t,regi) * 1e-8)
;


*' barrier cost for low penetration
$ifthen.no_calibration NOT "%CES_parameters%" == "calibration" !! CES_parameters
q36_costAddH2LowPen(t,regi)..
v36_costAddH2LowPen(t,regi)
=e=
cm_build_H2costAddH2Inv * sm_TWa_2_kWh / sm_trillion_2_non
cm_build_H2costAddH2Inv
* sm_TWa_2_kWh / sm_trillion_2_non
/ (1 + 3**v36_costExponent(t,regi))
;
$endif.no_calibration


*' Logistic function exponent for additional cost for hydrogen at low penetration cost equation
q36_auxCostAddTeInv(t,regi)..
v36_costExponent(t,regi)
=e=
10 / (cm_build_H2costDecayEnd - cm_build_H2costDecayStart)
* (v36_H2share(t,regi) + 1e-7
* (v36_avgH2share(t,regi) + 1e-7
- (cm_build_H2costDecayEnd + cm_build_H2costDecayStart) / 2
)
- v36_expSlack(t,regi)
;


*' Hydrogen fe share in buildings gases use (natural gas + hydrogen)
*' Average of the H2 share from this and the previous time period
q36_avgH2share(ttot, regi)$(ttot.val ge cm_startyear)..
v36_avgH2share(ttot, regi)
=e=
(v36_H2share(ttot, regi)
+ v36_H2share(ttot-1, regi)$(ttot.val > cm_startyear)
+ v36_H2share(ttot, regi)$(ttot.val = cm_startyear))
/ 2
;


*' Hydrogen fe share in buildings energy use
q36_H2Share(t,regi)..
v36_H2share(t,regi)
* sum(se2fe(entySe,entyFe,te)$(SAMEAS(entyFe,"feh2s")
OR SAMEAS(entyFe,"fegas")),
* sum(se2fe(entySe,entyFe,te)$(entyFe36(entyFe)),
vm_demFeSector_afterTax(t,regi,entySe,entyFe,"build","ES"))
=e=
sum(se2fe(entySe,entyFe,te)$SAMEAS(entyFe,"feh2s"),
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