Mortality validation against Urban SIS

[DenoBeno]

Urban SIS has mortality for Stockholm and AFAIK two more cities. Their mortality model is supposed to be accurate and has been validated according to SMHI, so we could /should try to validate our model against it.

I don't expect exactly the same results, but the trends in space, time and climate scenarios should be correct.

WDYT?

Btw, is there some other info in Urban SIS that we can validate our data against? Flash flood maybe?

[LenaStr]

I think it is interesting to do so and I can scheck if anyone can work on this when they are backf from holidays next week.

Two important questions:

• What is the Clarity data to be validated, is it data according to this resoure: https://csis.myclimateservice.eu/node/1356
• What is the best way to access this data? In the CSIS, Where, do I have to vreate a study?
• Who to contact about the Clarity data? Heinrich Humer?

/Lena

[DenoBeno]

The mortality data is calculated for each study. We already have a study for Stockholm, please remind me of other two cities that are available in Urban SIS and I'll add two more studies.

Please also remind me what exactly does Urban SIS calculated? What we have is the data for different periods, for different climatic scenarios and for different occurrence probability. We need to choose correct ones for comparison.

Once the study is done, in Risk/impact step look for the table view. This view allows you to download the data.

My proposal is to do it for one city first, then possibly change our model parameters to get a better match and finally see how it works in other two locations. Also, I don't expect to see the same numbers, but we should see the same behaviour in space, in time and across climate scenarios.

[LenaStr]

The three cities in Urban SIS are: Stockholm, Amsterdam and Bologna Urban SIS computes mortality data for five selected years for a reanalysis and one historical and future period (climate scenario, RCP8.5) The historical years are: The future years are selected according to this table: [cid:image001.jpg@01D66EFD.16EED360] /Lena Från: Denis Havlik [mailto:notifications@github.com] Skickat: den 10 augusti 2020 09:39 Till: clarity-h2020/csis Kopia: Strömbäck Lena; Assign Ämne: Re: [clarity-h2020/csis] Mortality validation against Urban SIS (#186) The mortality data is calculated for each study. We already have a study for Stockholm, please remind me of other two cities that are available in Urban SIS and I'll add two more studies. Please also remind me what exactly does Urban SIS calculated? What we have is the data for different periods, for different climatic scenarios and for different occurrence probability. We need to choose correct ones for comparison. Once the study is done, in Risk/impact step look for the table view. This view allows you to download the data. My proposal is to do it for one city first, then possibly change our model parameters to get a better match and finally see how it works in other two locations. Also, I don't expect to see the same numbers, but we should see the same behaviour in space, in time and across climate scenarios. — You are receiving this because you were assigned. Reply to this email directly, view it on GitHub<#186 (comment)>, or unsubscribe<https://github.com/notifications/unsubscribe-auth/AB2NFICDRHNIOPZERCCUNQ3R76PYBANCNFSM4PYT35SQ>.

[DenoBeno]

Something went wrong with uploading of that table data. Can you please upload it again?

[LenaStr]

It is like this. For each period we have selected on year that is normal, cold and wet, cold and dry, warm and wet, warm ande dry.

The selected years are:
Stockholm: present: 2009, 1995, 1994, 2005, 1985, future: 2032, 2053, 2046, 2035, 2064

Amsterdam: preasen: 2005, 2000, 1996, 2010, 2007, Future 2053, 2038, 2034, 2035, 2049, 2054

Bologna: present 2005 1987 1996 2010 2006, future 2050 2037 2053 2063 2044

[DenoBeno]

How do we get the relevant data from UrbanSIS?

[LenaStr]

Hi Denis, Jorge is back from holidays and he is the one with most insight in the data we have produced. Data is available on our UrbanSIS servers and some of it in the CSIS as a data package, but I believe the first step would be to have a discussion so we can decide which part of the data that is most relevant to compare. Best regards, Lena Från: Denis Havlik [mailto:notifications@github.com] Skickat: den 24 augusti 2020 10:23 Till: clarity-h2020/csis Kopia: Strömbäck Lena; Assign Ämne: Re: [clarity-h2020/csis] Mortality validation against Urban SIS (#186) How do we get the relevant data from UrbanSIS? — You are receiving this because you were assigned. Reply to this email directly, view it on GitHub<#186 (comment)>, or unsubscribe<https://github.com/notifications/unsubscribe-auth/AB2NFIEQCECPXA43UBG63IDSCIPNBANCNFSM4PYT35SQ>.