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NIMCET PYQ Analysis + 2027 Forecast (2008–2026)

Data-driven breakdown of 19 years of NIMCET question papers — every question classified into a fixed topic taxonomy, then back-tested into a statistical forecast of the 2027 paper, so prep effort goes where the marks actually are.

2249 questions · 19 papers · 38 topics · 300 recycled questions detected

Interactive heat-map + topic ranking + year trends. Works on any device, anytime.

Nineteen papers parsed, every topic trend significance-tested, eleven forecasting methods back-tested against the real papers. Shows the predicted 2027 topic distribution to ±1.4 questions, the 19-year heat-map, and the 300 recycled questions that reveal which past papers NIMCET reuses — and when.

Served from this repo (forecast.html) — one self-contained file, no external dependencies, works offline. A mirror also exists but requires a Claude login.


The exam in one table

NIMCET changed its section split in 2023 — Computer Awareness doubled and General English halved. This is the single most important structural fact in the dataset, and it has held for four consecutive papers (2023, 2024, 2025, 2026).

Section 2008–2022 2023 onward Marks (12 each)
Mathematics 50 50 600
Analytical Ability & Logical Reasoning 40 40 480
Computer Awareness 10 20 ⬆️ 240
General English 20 10 ⬇️ 120

⚠️ Computer Awareness is now worth twice what English is worth. It is also almost entirely factual and mechanical — the highest marks-per-hour-of-study block in the whole paper.

⚠️ Arithmetic word problems (ratio, %, ages, mixtures, work) sit inside the Reasoning section, not Mathematics. Verified by reading NIMCET 2026 Q64–Q100 directly.

Topics that repeat every single year (18–19 of 19 papers)

These are guaranteed to reappear. Master these before anything else.

Topic Section Total Avg/yr
Logical Deduction & Puzzles Reasoning 194 10.2
Calculus Math 146 7.7
Trigonometry Math 129 6.8
Number System & Boolean Logic Computer 129 6.8
Algebra & Progressions Math 128 6.7
Coordinate & Conic Geometry Math 113 5.9
Arithmetic Reasoning 112 5.9
Vectors & 3D Geometry Math 99 removed — see below
Vocabulary (syn/antonym) English 94 4.9
Probability Math 89 4.7

❌ Vectors is gone — do not study it

Vector & 3D questions ran at 5–8 per paper for eighteen years, then dropped to 1 in 2026 when the revised syllabus removed vector algebra. The 2027 syllabus document contains zero mentions of "vector", "3D" or "dimension".

Those ~5 questions did not vanish — they moved into Algebra & Progressions (+3.6 vs its 5-year mean) and Sets, Relations & Functions (+1.8). Study those instead.

Predicted 2027 paper

Section Questions Top topics
Mathematics 50 Calculus 8 · Algebra 8 · Trigonometry 7 · Coordinate Geo 6 · Sets & Functions 5 · Probability 5
Reasoning 40 Puzzles 10 · Arithmetic 6 · Series 4 · Coding 4 · Syllogism 4
Computer 20 Number systems & Boolean 10 · Architecture/OS/memory 7 · Networking 2
English 10 Vocabulary 3 · Grammar 2 · Fill-blanks 2 · Comprehension 2

Method: exponentially-weighted average of topic shares, chosen because it won a back-test against ten alternatives (MAE 1.43 questions vs 1.81 for "just copy last year", which came last). Full workings in analysis/nimcet-2027-prediction.md.

🔁 ~10% of every paper is recycled

TF-IDF matching across all 19 papers with every numeral masked found 300 cross-year duplicate pairs, 44 of them near-verbatim. Whole multi-question puzzle sets get lifted intact — 2009 Q61–65 reappeared as 2012 Q86–88; 2024 Q61–63 reappeared as 2025 Q104.

The repeat gap peaks at 2 years and 4 years. For 2027 that points squarely at NIMCET 2025 and NIMCET 2023 — solve those two until you recognise a stem in five seconds.

Priority tiers (revised for the 2023 split + 2026 syllabus)

  • 🔴 Tier S — do first (~480 marks): Number Systems & Boolean Logic (10 Q) · Logical Puzzles (10 Q) · Calculus (8 Q) · Algebra & Progressions (8 Q) · Trigonometry (7 Q).
  • 🟠 Tier A — next: Computer architecture/OS/memory (7 Q) · Coordinate & Conic Geo (6 Q) · Arithmetic word problems (6 Q) · Sets & Functions (5 Q) · Probability (5 Q).
  • 🟡 Tier B — cheap, don't skip: Series/Coding/Syllogism (12 Q) · Blood Relations/Seating/Clocks/Direction (9 Q) · Statistics (3 Q — the one rising Math topic, p = 0.002) · Grammar + Vocabulary (5 Q).
  • Tier C — bounded time: Matrices (2) · P&C (3) · Networking (2) · Comprehension (2) · Mathematical Logic / truth tables (1–2, named in the 2027 syllabus).
  • Do not study: Vector algebra · para jumbles · verbal analogy · linear programming.

🎥 Study resources (curated YouTube, per Tier 1 & 2 topic)

Most-viewed videos per priority topic, with one-click no-login playlist links inside each.

Folder Use Language
01-learn-hindi/ Learn from zero — NCERT/Indian syllabus Hindi
02-learn-english/ Learn from zero — freeCodeCamp / Khan / OCT English
03-practice-pyq/ Exam-pattern practice — NIMCET PYQ solving Hindi/Eng

Flow: learn a topic (folder 01 or 02) → practice its PYQ pattern (folder 03).

📕 Must-buy book — Arihant MCA Entrance combo

The single most important purchase for NIMCET prep: all NIMCET PYQs with full written solutions, which no video gives you.

Combo — ACE The MCA Entrance Exam 2026 + Solved Papers (+ free One Word Substitution) Arihant · English medium · ~₹1263 (MRP ₹1685) · Study guide with 3500+ practice Qs + year-wise solved papers.

Videos build the concept; this book is where you grind PYQs and check written solutions. Buy early.

📑 Which chapters to read → 04-arihant-book/

Every Arihant chapter mapped to the priority tiers, with page numbers. Tier 1 first, Tier 2 next, skip the rest until the last week.

🔴 Tier 1 — Section I Mathematics (pp 1–792)

Ch Topic Pages
2 Inequality 13–23
3 Surds, Indices, Logarithms 24–33
5 Sequences & Series 52–82
6 Theory of Quadratic Equations 83–104
7 Permutations & Combinations 105–126
8 Binomial Theorem 127–145
9 Matrices & Determinants 146–171
11 Limits, Continuity & Differentiability 205–237
12 Differentiation 238–261
13 Application of Derivatives 262–295
14 Indefinite Integral 296–333
15 Definite Integral 334–362
16 Area Under Curve 363–376
18 Cartesian System, Straight Line 401–443
19 Circle 444–475
20 Parabola 476–495
21 Ellipse 496–514
22 Hyperbola 515–532
23 Trigonometric Ratios & Identities 533–560
24 Trigonometric Equations 561–574
25 Properties & Solution of Triangles 575–597
26 Inverse Trigonometric Functions 598–614
28 Vectors skip — off syllabus
29 Three Dimensional Geometry skip — off syllabus
30 Probability & Probability Distribution 673–703

🔴 Tier 1 — Section IV Quantitative / Arithmetic (pp 1–159)

Ch Topic Pages
1 Number System 3–14
2 HCF & LCM 15–19
3 Percentage 20–31
4 Profit & Loss 32–44
5 Average 45–54
6 Time, Speed & Distance 55–67
7 Simple & Compound Interest 68–79
8 Time & Work 80–91
9 Ratio & Proportion 92–102
10 Mixture or Alligations 103–109

🟡 Tier 2 — Section II Analytical & Logical (pp 1–168)

Ch Topic Pages
4 Series Test 48–59
5 Coding-Decoding Test 60–66
6 Blood Relation Test 67–70
8 Sitting Arrangement Test 74–85
10 Mathematical Operations & Reasoning 91–96
12 Decision Making Test 111–118
13 Data Sufficiency Test 119–121
16 Input & Output Test 128–134

🟡 Tier 2 — Section III Computer Awareness (pp 1–84)

Ch Topic Pages
1 Computer Fundamentals & PC Applications 3–17
6 'C' Language 44–76
7 Data Structures 77–84

🟡 Tier 2 — Section V General English (pp 1–28): Solved Paper 2024 (1–18) · Solved Paper 2025 (1–18)


Repo layout

nimcet/
├── index.html              # live interactive dashboard (GitHub Pages)
├── analysis/
│   ├── nimcet-2027-prediction.md       # ⭐ the 2027 forecast: trends, back-test, recycling
│   ├── nimcet-2027-question-bank.md    # ⭐ 120 predicted questions, full worked solutions
│   ├── nimcet-2027-predicted-paper.md  #   same 120 questions, compact — use as a timed mock
│   ├── verify_predicted_paper.py       #   sympy self-check of the answer key (67/67 pass)
│   ├── overview.md         # full ranking, priority plan, conclusions
│   ├── math.md             # Mathematics topic breakdown
│   ├── reasoning.md        # Logical Reasoning topic breakdown
│   ├── english.md          # General English topic breakdown
│   └── computer.md         # Computer Awareness topic breakdown
├── data/
│   └── pyq-analysis-result.json   # raw classified counts (per-topic, per-year)
├── papers/                 # the 19 source papers (nimcet-2008 … 2026)
├── resources/              # syllabus + formula books + reference PYQs
├── 01-learn-hindi/         # YouTube guide — learn from zero (Hindi, NCERT)
├── 02-learn-english/       # YouTube guide — learn from zero (English)
├── 03-practice-pyq/        # YouTube guide — NIMCET PYQ practice
└── 04-arihant-book/        # Arihant chapters mapped to tiers, with page numbers

Method

Classification. Each question from all 19 papers was extracted and LLM-classified into one fixed topic taxonomy, then aggregated by topic × year. Counts, averages, and "years seen" come straight from data/pyq-analysis-result.json.

Forecast (added 2026-08-17). All 19 PDFs re-parsed with pdftotext into 2,249 individual questions. Per-topic trends significance-tested with Mann-Kendall; eleven forecasting methods back-tested by predicting each year from only the years before it. Recycling detected by TF-IDF cosine over question stems with all numerals masked, so a question re-asked with different numbers still matches.

Known data gaps: the 2012 PDF has 59 image-only questions (unrecoverable without OCR) and the 2015 PDF is truncated at Q90. Both years are down-weighted and never scored against in the back-test. The reported recycling rate is a floor, not a ceiling — the detector only reads cleanly-extracted text stems.

Source papers: aspirestudy.in year-wise PYQ archive. PYQ analysis 2026-07-15; 2027 forecast 2026-08-17.


Contributing

Found a better video, a broken link, or a resource worth adding? PRs welcome.

  • Add/fix video links inside 01-learn-hindi/, 02-learn-english/, or 03-practice-pyq/ READMEs.
  • Keep the format: [title](link) · channel · views · length.
  • Corrections to the PYQ classification (data/) are especially valued.

Not on GitHub? Open an issue with the link.

License

MIT — free to use, fork, and share. Built for every NIMCET aspirant.

Star the repo if it helps — it helps others find it too.


Free, open prep resource for NIMCET / NIT MCA aspirants. Good luck — go get that seat.

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Data-driven NIMCET PYQ analysis (2008–2026) + free curated study resources — heat-map dashboard, Tier 1/2 YouTube guides (Hindi & English), and PYQ practice links for NIT MCA aspirants.

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