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Description
Summary
The Plan 2 student loan interest rate thresholds (lower and upper) are missing the announced 2026 values and need clarification on uprating methodology for future years.
Current State
The policyengine_uk/parameters/gov/hmrc/student_loans/interest_rates/plan_2/ directory has:
lower_threshold.yaml: Values through 2025-09-01 (£28,470)upper_threshold.yaml: Values through 2025-09-01 (£51,245)
Missing Data
GOV.UK has announced the 2026-04 values:
- Lower interest threshold: £29,385 (same as repayment threshold)
- Upper interest threshold: £52,885
Uprating Methodology Question
The Budget 2025 froze the Plan 2 repayment threshold at £29,385 from 2027-2030. The documentation in lower_threshold.yaml notes that "This is the same as the Plan 2 repayment threshold."
Questions:
- Should the lower interest threshold also be explicitly frozen for 2027-2029 to match the repayment threshold freeze?
- The upper interest threshold has no announced freeze - should it be set to use RPI uprating for future years?
Historical Analysis
Looking at historical changes vs RPI:
- 2025: +2.9% (lower), +3.3% (upper) — closely matched RPI (~2.7%)
- 2026: +3.2% (lower), +3.2% (upper) — closely matched RPI (~3.2%)
When not explicitly frozen, the thresholds appear to track RPI reasonably well.
Suggested Changes
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Add 2026-09-01 values:
lower_threshold.yaml: £29,385upper_threshold.yaml: £52,885
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Add frozen values for lower threshold (2027-2029) to match repayment threshold freeze
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Consider adding
uprating: gov.economic_assumptions.indices.obr.rpimetadata to upper_threshold.yaml for years beyond the announced values
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