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@elephaint elephaint commented Apr 11, 2025

Fixes some docs errors:

  • Mintlify doesn't display text if the text is written in the same markdown cell as the header. Thus, this PR splits off all headers + text immediately below it.
  • Minor link fixes

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github-actions bot commented Apr 11, 2025

Experiment Results

Experiment 1: air-passengers

Description:

variable experiment
h 12
season_length 12
freq MS
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 12.6793 11.0623 47.8333 76
mape 0.027 0.0232 0.0999 0.1425
mse 213.936 199.132 2571.33 10604.2
total_time 0.5252 1.1062 0.0043 0.0033

Plot:

Experiment 2: air-passengers

Description:

variable experiment
h 24
season_length 12
freq MS
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 58.1031 58.4587 71.25 115.25
mape 0.1257 0.1267 0.1552 0.2358
mse 4040.21 4110.79 5928.17 18859.2
total_time 0.4995 0.4597 0.0037 0.0033

Plot:

Experiment 3: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 24
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 178.293 268.129 269.23 1331.02
mape 0.0234 0.0311 0.0304 0.1692
mse 121586 219467 213677 4.68961e+06
total_time 0.78 2.3441 0.0045 0.0041

Plot:

Experiment 4: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 168
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 465.496 346.976 398.956 1119.26
mape 0.062 0.0436 0.0512 0.1583
mse 835064 403762 656723 3.17316e+06
total_time 1.2047 0.4594 0.0048 0.0042

Plot:

Experiment 5: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable experiment
h 336
season_length 24
freq H
level None
n_windows 1

Results:

metric timegpt-1 timegpt-1-long-horizon SeasonalNaive Naive
mae 558.684 459.764 602.926 1340.95
mape 0.0697 0.0565 0.0787 0.17
mse 1.2272e+06 739132 1.61572e+06 6.04619e+06
total_time 0.6733 0.4335 0.0049 0.0043

Plot:

@elephaint elephaint requested a review from ngupta23 April 16, 2025 16:06
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