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Vasicek Model Calibration: GMM vs MLE

This project focuses on calibrating the Vasicek interest rate model using two statistical methods: Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE). The aim is to compare the effectiveness and accuracy of these techniques in estimating the model's parameters.

Key Features

  • Implementation of the Vasicek model, a mean-reverting stochastic process for interest rates.
  • Calibration using:
    • GMM: Leveraging moment conditions to estimate parameters.
    • MLE: Maximizing the likelihood function to fit the model.
  • Comparative analysis of parameter estimates and model performance.
  • Visualization of calibration results and interest rate simulations.

Technologies

  • Python for numerical computations and modeling.
  • Libraries: numpy, scipy, pandas, matplotlib, and statsmodels.

It is done during our second year at ENPC.

Link to the LaTeX report : https://www.overleaf.com/read/xjbmxcbvgvnf#9583d1

Link to the LaTeX code for the presentation of the professional development day on 04/11/2025 dedicated to the project : https://www.overleaf.com/read/xnzhrhfvxgkm#7870eb

Link to the LaTeX poster : https://www.overleaf.com/read/kbsfsqfcrtxr#62776d

Link to the LaTeX presentation : https://www.overleaf.com/read/szxrxwhwycps#9777db

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