CLI: Fix logic to add ^ packages in upgrade

[ndelangen]

Closes #25811

What I did

I changed the logic that determins to add or not add a ^ to the version range to upgrade to.

Checklist for Contributors

Testing

The changes in this PR are covered in the following automated tests:

• stories
• unit tests
• integration tests
• end-to-end tests

Manual testing

This is super hard to test, I could use some help finding ways to test this proper.

I think it will require publishing to verdaccio multiple times, withg multiple versions and possible multiple dist tags. Not something we really have scripts for to do.

Documentation

• Add or update documentation reflecting your changes
• If you are deprecating/removing a feature, make sure to update
  MIGRATION.MD

Checklist for Maintainers

• When this PR is ready for testing, make sure to add ci:normal, ci:merged or ci:daily GH label to it to run a specific set of sandboxes. The particular set of sandboxes can be found in code/lib/cli/src/sandbox-templates.ts

• Make sure this PR contains one of the labels below:

  Available labels

  • bug: Internal changes that fixes incorrect behavior.
  • maintenance: User-facing maintenance tasks.
  • dependencies: Upgrading (sometimes downgrading) dependencies.
  • build: Internal-facing build tooling & test updates. Will not show up in release changelog.
  • cleanup: Minor cleanup style change. Will not show up in release changelog.
  • documentation: Documentation only changes. Will not show up in release changelog.
  • feature request: Introducing a new feature.
  • BREAKING CHANGE: Changes that break compatibility in some way with current major version.
  • other: Changes that don't fit in the above categories.

🦋 Canary release

This pull request has been released as version 0.0.0-pr-26049-sha-b8adcad0. Try it out in a new sandbox by running npx storybook@0.0.0-pr-26049-sha-b8adcad0 sandbox or in an existing project with npx storybook@0.0.0-pr-26049-sha-b8adcad0 upgrade.

More information

Published version	0.0.0-pr-26049-sha-b8adcad0
Triggered by	@valentinpalkovic
Repository	storybookjs/storybook
Branch	norbert/fix-caret-in-upgrade
Commit	b8adcad0
Datetime	Tue Feb 20 10:55:41 UTC 2024 (1708426541)
Workflow run	7972334583

To request a new release of this pull request, mention the @storybookjs/core team.

core team members can create a new canary release here or locally with gh workflow run --repo storybookjs/storybook canary-release-pr.yml --field pr=26049