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Reckoner 0.0.10:

  • Decay 1% per day, including playercount factor Average entropy: 0.620878050942388 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.632596724776946 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.641756281522399 > 2 teams Entropy: 0.441184232613582

Reckoner 0.0.11:

  • Decay 3% per day Average entropy: 0.620921397288601 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.63063931130303 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.641947132785026 > 2 teams Entropy: 0.449712906748159

Reckoner 0.0.12

  • Revert to linear weighting for ratings Average entropy: 0.621780055435712 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.631667641172072 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.642231936686314 > 2 teams Entropy: 0.4505750805362

Reckoner 0.0.13

  • Revert to cross entropy weighting for ratings (compare to 0.0.11)
  • Change window function to simple form Average entropy: 0.619807820601836 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.630005945694926 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.641787469196765 > 2 teams Entropy: 0.449345829982358 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.667512976529696 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.550488578246918 Ferret 1v1 Entropy: 0.664810866194737 Broom 1v1 Entropy: 0.472098269191156 Broom 5v5 Entropy: 0.624152044455139 Bill 5v5 Entropy: 0.652223934624546

Reckoner 0.1.01:

  • Fixed bug in skill function Average entropy: 0.615653674634707 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.624789264130252 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.640492741021641 > 2 team Entropy: 0.451729241265783 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.666072713197931 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.547712596240822

Reckoner 0.1.02

  • Change default prior from Beta(2.5, 2.5) to Beta(0.5, 0.5) Average entropy: 0.61561638606324 1v1 Averag Entropy: 0.624816045195975 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.640720300766493 > 2 team Entropy: 0.452147042390711 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.666334759838834 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.55441205209699

Reckoner 0.1.03

  • Change default prior from Beta(0.5, 0.5) to Beta(0.5, 1.0) Average entropy: 0.615492126890907 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.621453087772406 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.640293880789396 > 2 team Entropy: 0.451896389963776 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.668429192071681 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.553844679638226

Reckoner 0.01.04

  • Revert default prior rating to Beta(0.5, 0.5) (see 0.1.02)
  • Change the rating of the default opponents to Beta(20, 20) instead of using the same value as the prior. Average entropy: 0.615612692925373 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.624813382757267 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.640720299765894 > 2 team Entropy: 0.452147045023299 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.666334753169925 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.554412051721413

Reckoner 0.01.04a

  • ATTEMPTED: Once again changing the default rating to Beta(0.5, 1.0) Average entropy: 0.61560646091599 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.624801428825552 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.640720299638697 > 2 team Entropy: 0.452147044994677 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.666334753145501 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.554412051663649

Reckoner 0.01.05

  • Actually changed the default rating to Beta(0.5, 1.0) Average entropy: 0.615606250551957 1v1 Average Entropy: 5v5 Average Entropy: > 2 team Entropy: Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.666334753145501 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.554412051663649

Reckoner 0.01.05

  • Changed the default rating to Beta(0.5, 3.5)
  • Realigned the default opponent with the default rating Average entropy: 0.625443007352506 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.622698289509789 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.64072625810439 > 2 team Entropy: 0.453220462076455 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.673946634252594 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.560479990332671

Reckoner 0.01.05

  • Changed the default rating to Beta(0.5, 1.5) Average entropy: 0.616969379167673 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.620494362188475 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.640252633496133 > 2 team Entropy: 0.452062038438219 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.670011252636235 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.555131393194243

Reckoner 0.02.01

  • Reverted the default rating to Beta(0.5, 1.0)
  • Changed the effective challenge equation Average entropy: 0.615194514079239 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.621125303087504 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.64022336762451 > 2 team Entropy: 0.451722407383015 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.668482928016954 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.552534607790022

Reckoner 0.02.02

  • Changed ranked/tourney default ratings to align with normal Beta(0.5, 1.0) Average entropy: 0.61415861398656 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.61997608381115 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.639793356467644 > 2 team Entropy: 0.451012126952687 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.668629738506964 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.546255214631731

Reckoner 0.03.01

  • Changed rating algorithm to account for certainty gained from expected results
  • Side effect: ratings update linearly again instead of using cross entropy. Average entropy: 0.613308317523969 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.62041276077725 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.639906848958364 > 2 team Entropy: 0.4514647109292 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.667121959944014 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.543032636363027

Reckoner 0.03.01

  • Took the square root of weight for ratings

Reckoner 0.04.01

  • Switch to Glicko-style scaling on rating/challenge Average entropy: 0.763208892719514 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.715561347065043 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.653542046507067 > 2 team Entropy: 0.504132947296476 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.679789391820379 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.607416781929082

Reckoner 0.04.02

  • Hopefully fixed major bug with ratings Average entropy: 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.72915437055311 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.634649865844899 > 2 team Entropy: 0.499680568779459 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.661970777308727 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.60319534074904

Reckoner 0.04.04

  • Remembered to account for weights in ratings Average entropy: 0.764845154200324 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.71826166566137 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.631181665765603 > 2 team Entropy: 0.503070506478398 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.659205448751073 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.601047462928053

Reckoner 0.04.05

  • Changed effective challenge formula to add 400 per additional player (on average) instead of 1500 Average entropy: 0.760022994138388 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.718726733217754 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.632213402512628 > 2 team Entropy: 0.499530087970122 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.657286894858018 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.600803205371925

Reckoner 0.04.06

  • Decay reduced from 0.03 per day to 0.02 Average entropy: 0.769241361223057 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.723376641463256 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.632447632849657 > 2 team Entropy: 0.502459177076728 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.658011888434471 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.58184885771394

Reckoner 0.04.07

  • Changed effective challenge formula to no longer use RMS (in order to handle negative ratings more properly) Average entropy: 0.698085771436492 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.673666410050342 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.61139621139639 > 2 team Entropy: 0.443611097396327 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.648236980834276 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.573888161629256

Reckoner 0.04.08

  • Bandage fix for initial rating not beginning at 1500 Average entropy: 0.687944722925533 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.667107170503864 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.610142744171034 > 2 team Entropy: 0.441398934727108 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.649567235097988 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.572392729100571

Reckoner 0.05.01

  • Removed AUP and replaced with default rating, standard dev., and Glicko-based priors for win-loss Average entropy: 0.662049868457941 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.658310713095136 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.63745045518308 > 2 team Entropy: 0.49197915075962 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.674073602059028 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.593753825402063

Reckoner 0.05.02

  • Fixed using standard deviation in RD calculation instead of variance Average entropy: 0.639045410445681 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.639717986752943 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.638998022779991 > 2 team Entropy: 0.470086963505454 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.674073602059028 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.588924509844852

Reckoner 0.05.03

  • Changed effective challenge algorithm to work better with Elo/Glicko equations.
  • Added eco modifier support to effective challenge algorithm Average entropy: 0.632002657385826 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.633476399618413 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.631699062384424 > 2 team Entropy: 0.471458746033687 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.660829047025424 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.588942580817152

Reckoner 0.05.02

  • The effective challenge algorithm's output is now used properly by the expected win-loss function. Average entropy: 0.554689318901669 1v1 Average Entropy: 0.556326409231978 5v5 Average Entropy: 0.578229061595864 > 2 team Entropy: 0.459010152200976 Dissonant 5v5 Entropy: 0.625266205955053 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.386331009003604

Reckoner 0.05.03

  • The effective challenge algorithm changed to work with total team strength instead of average team strength Average entropy: 0.633051893949291

Reckoner 0.05.04

  • Effective challenge algorithm scales back to Normal(1500, 200) once again Average entropy: 0.551491163504181 1v1 Average entropy: 0.550127834704238 5v5 Average entropy: 0.604815673301443 >2 team Entropy: 0.464417890861863 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.640116934047973 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.392261208091401

Reckoner 0.05.05

  • It's actually just extended Glicko, not Reckoner! Average entropy: 0.56464520331258 1v1 Average entropy: 0.566092084342768 5v5 Average entropy: 0.608619118318539 >2 team Entropy: 0.473056993170673 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.638398371302757 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.427118294614986

Reckoner 0.05.06

  • Back to Reckoner
  • Strength of Glicko-based win chance prior moved from 10 observations to 1 observation Average entropy: 0.553763708808884 1v1 Average entropy: 0.556117067866659 5v5 Average entropy: 0.599023963953773 >2 team Entropy: 0.448116555116821 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.640333156175872 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.375112333655721

Reckoner 0.05.07

  • Fixed eco modifier bug in effective challenge algorithm Average entropy: 0.558227837886215 1v1 Average entropy: 0.561628438102546 5v5 Average entropy: 0.599161223124245 >2 team Entropy: 0.446624278013074 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.639460701811167 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.374509734650744

Reckoner 0.05.08

  • Strength of Glicko-based win chance prior reverted from 1 observation to 10 observation Average entropy: 0.556721484142076 1v1 Average entropy: 0.556429080532981 5v5 Average entropy: 0.605330662990302 >2 team Entropy: 0.46262494709686 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.639347782774956 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.391323670599493

Reckoner 0.05.09

  • Rating updates now based on cross entropy instead of raw win chance Average entropy: 0.562478532812585 1v1 Average entropy: 0.563459462092208 5v5 Average entropy: 0.608460133790155 >2 team Entropy: 0.46252556299399 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.639347782774956 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.410466580638292

Reckoner 0.05.10

  • Strength of Glicko-based win chance prior moved from 10 observations to 2 observations Average entropy: 0.562393653084781 1v1 Average entropy: 0.563401986145524 5v5 Average entropy: 0.608474417877464 >2 team Entropy: 0.462339561028738 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.639275828152754 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.410911784236515

Reckoner 0.05.11

  • Rating updates reverted to using raw win chance instead of cross entropy Average entropy: 0.556640999468681 1v1 Average entropy: 0.556368352869901 5v5 Average entropy: 0.605267584951858 >2 team Entropy: 0.462532712616887 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.638876518316026 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.39115684499099

Reckoner 0.05.12

  • Teams are now summed with base 10^(1/3) instead of 10^(1/4) Average entropy: 0.556214164239857 1v1 Average entropy: 0.556257136317549 5v5 Average entropy: 0.60409868943414 >2 team Entropy: 0.462466305568765 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.63866177578311 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.3912039823468

Reckoner 0.05.12 2020-09-16 check-in

  • No changes yet, just comparing value stability since last check (approximately 2020-08-24) Average entropy: 0.556737902908173 1v1 Average entropy: 0.557494871619504 5v5 Average entropy: 0.602417379141053 >2 team Entropy: 0.46332429751334 Dissonant's 5v5 Entropy: 0.638381038263439 Dissonant 1v1 Entropy: 0.390880709137207

Average Entropy by time period: 2020-09-01 - 2020-09-16: 0.566454308587333 2020-08-01 - 2020-09-01: 0.537610776683424 2020-07-01 - 2020-08-01: 0.531991855773833 2020-06-01 - 2020-07-01: 0.546418365238954 2020-05-01 - 2020-06-01: 0.55886397392024

Reckoner 0.6.1 2020-10-17 (retroactive entry 2020-11-29)

  • Changed rating summation formulas to be independent of game order

Reckoner 0.7.1 2020-11-29

  • Implemented iterative algorithm to approximate rating at which a player has 50% win-loss

Reckoner 0.8.0 2021-02-15

  • Implemented hardcap on maximum rating movement when a player has few matches

Average entropy: 0.683490797446559 1v1 Average entropy: 0.676086366021285 5v5 Average entropy: 0.667547077040342

Reckoner 0.9.0 2021-05-28 checkin

  • Approximate test for next major version:

Average Entropy: 0.613030495259788 Average Entropy 1v1: 0.62649432901597 Average Entropy 5v5: 0.630580277131086 >2 team Entropy: 0.448764701059171

Reckoner 0.9.1 2021-06-12

  • Reduce constant game weight from +1.0 to +0.25