diff --git a/‎scripts/pm/check-clause2-carriers.mjs‎
Lines changed: 63 additions & 2 deletions b/‎scripts/pm/check-clause2-carriers.mjs‎
Lines changed: 63 additions & 2 deletions
@@ -338,6 +338,8 @@ import {
   EXIT_PREREQUISITE_NOT_MET,
   PROXY_FLAG,
   SWEEP_REPO_SHAPE,
+  deliveryEvidence,
+  deliveryEvidenceNote,
   governingClaim,
   isGateSemanticLabel,
   labelNames,
@@ -643,7 +645,16 @@ export function c1CarrierSplit(pair) {
   const onPr = gated(pair?.prLabels);
   if (onCard === null || onPr === null) return null; // unreadable — accounted as UNJUDGED, not clean.
   if (onCard === onPr) return null;
-  const draft = pair.draft ? ' (draft)' : '';
+  // The PAIRING's own evidence (#16706). This row's dangerous half tells a
+  // reader a live fail-open is in front of them, and the measured specimen that
+  // produced one was a pair derived from an accounting sentence — so the row
+  // states what the pairing rests on, in the same breath as the consequence.
+  // A pair from a caller that predates the field carries no `evidence` at all;
+  // it prints as it always did rather than claiming a reading nobody took.
+  const bits = [];
+  if (pair.draft) bits.push('draft');
+  if (pair?.evidence !== undefined) bits.push(deliveryEvidenceNote(pair.evidence));
+  const draft = bits.length > 0 ? ` (${bits.join(', ')})` : '';
   if (onCard && !onPr) {
     return (
       `\`${CONTRACT_REVIEW_LABEL}\` on card #${pair.card} while its delivering open PR ` +
@@ -1355,6 +1366,14 @@ export function pairUnjudged(pair) {
  * its card, and every branch name carries the fallback too — 7 of 7, both
  * channels. Pairing is a derivation here, not an assumption.
  *
+ * Each pair carries the EVIDENCE its derivation rests on (#16706), because the
+ * derivation is exactly where a false pair enters this file: a body whose prose
+ * said 「part of #N already landed」 about another card derived a pair that
+ * never existed, and C1 then reported its dangerous half against it in the same
+ * words a real split gets. The kind rides on the pair so the row can say what
+ * it was built from; ⛔ it is never a filter here — a pair is derived exactly
+ * when `prDeliversCard` says so, as before.
+ *
  * @param {object[]} openPrs
  * @param {number[]} cardNumbers — the open cards the sweep holds.
  */
@@ -1363,7 +1382,15 @@ export function derivePairs(openPrs, cardNumbers) {
   for (const pr of openPrs ?? []) {
     if (!pr || pr.merged_at) continue;
     for (const n of cardNumbers ?? []) {
-      if (prDeliversCard(pr, String(n))) pairs.push({ pr: pr.number, card: Number(n), draft: Boolean(pr.draft), prRow: pr });
+      if (prDeliversCard(pr, String(n))) {
+        pairs.push({
+          pr: pr.number,
+          card: Number(n),
+          draft: Boolean(pr.draft),
+          evidence: deliveryEvidence(pr, String(n)),
+          prRow: pr,
+        });
+      }
     }
   }
   return pairs;
@@ -2274,6 +2301,40 @@ export function selfTest() {
   t('a PR body naming another card does NOT pair on a stale branch name', derivePairs([prRow(13910, 9999, 'claude/issue-13476-x')], [13476]).length === 0);
   t('a branch name is the fallback when the body says nothing', derivePairs([{ number: 1, labels: [], body: 'no refs here', head: { ref: 'claude/issue-13476-x' } }], [13476]).length === 1);
 
+  // -- #16706: the pair carries the EVIDENCE it was derived from -------------
+  //
+  // ★ The measured specimen — objectui PR #8354, whose "Serial constraints"
+  // section said 「part of #7918 already landed …」 about a DIFFERENT card with
+  // its own separate PR. The pair below is the one this file derived from that
+  // sentence, and the C1 row it emitted told the reader a live fail-open was in
+  // front of them. The relation is unchanged, so the pair is still derived —
+  // what changed is that the row now says what it was built from.
+  const PROSE_8354 =
+    'Note that **part of #7918** already landed as `4f9f1ee` (PR #8226, memoising two of ' +
+    'the lazy getters); this PR does not touch the getters.';
+  const body8354 = `Fixes #7760\n\n## Serial constraints\n\n- ${PROSE_8354}\n`;
+  const pr8354 = { number: 8354, draft: true, labels: [], body: body8354, head: { ref: 'claude/issue-7760-lazy-mirror-input-type-args' } };
+
+  const inlinePair = derivePairs([pr8354], [7918]);
+  t('#16706: the prose sentence still derives the pair — the relation is NOT narrowed here', inlinePair.length === 1);
+  t('#16706: …and the pair records that the match was not at the declaration position', inlinePair[0]?.evidence === 'part-of-inline');
+  const keywordPair = derivePairs([pr8354], [7760]);
+  t('#16706: the real `Fixes` relation on the same body is graded as the strong channel', keywordPair[0]?.evidence === 'closing-keyword');
+  // CONTROL — the same body with that ONE sentence deleted derives nothing.
+  t('#16706 control: deleting the sentence removes the pair entirely', derivePairs([{ ...pr8354, body: 'Fixes #7760\n\n## Serial constraints\n\n' }], [7918]).length === 0);
+
+  // …and the C1 row PRINTS it — the row the card was filed about.
+  const c1Inline = c1CarrierSplit({ ...inlinePair[0], prLabels: [CONTRACT_REVIEW_LABEL], cardLabels: [], cardComments: [CLAIM('Clause-②: yes')] });
+  t('#16706: the C1 dangerous half still fires on the derived pair', typeof c1Inline === 'string');
+  t('#16706: …and now names the evidence beside the PR', String(c1Inline).includes('#8354 (draft, ⚠️ via `Part of` NOT at the declaration position'));
+  t('#16706: …while the consequence paragraph it always carried is untouched', String(c1Inline).includes('an ungated card is a card that was never'));
+  // A strong-channel pair prints the strong phrase, so the two are DISTINGUISHABLE
+  // in the row — which is the whole point of the card.
+  const c1Keyword = c1CarrierSplit({ ...keywordPair[0], prLabels: [CONTRACT_REVIEW_LABEL], cardLabels: [], cardComments: [CLAIM('Clause-②: yes')] });
+  t('#16706: a keyword-sourced row reads differently from an inline-sourced one', String(c1Keyword).includes('via a closing keyword') && !String(c1Keyword).includes('NOT at the declaration position'));
+  // ⛔ A pair from a caller that predates the field claims no reading at all.
+  t('#16706: a pair with no evidence field prints exactly as it always did', String(c1CarrierSplit({ pr: 13910, card: 13476, draft: true, prLabels: [CONTRACT_REVIEW_LABEL], cardLabels: [], cardComments: [] })).includes('#13910 (draft)'));
+
   // -- the three read paths ---------------------------------------------------
   //
   // The offline reader is exercised against the SAME predicates the live path