*“Here’s the problem with forecasts: some of them are right, and some of them are wrong, and by the time we find out which is which, it’s too late. This leads to what we might call the forecasting paradox: the test of a useful forecast is not whether it turns out to be accurate, but whether it turns out to prompt some sort of useful action in advance. Accuracy may help, but then again it may not. Forewarned is not necessarily forearmed.” * The truth about the forecasting paradox. *
- People : The scary Zizians. Pandemic and labyrinths. Tiny house in a silo (and the art of managing silos). Permaweird. FBI and WFH. Glass brain (and vesuvius). Retooling shop classes. The day the muse died.
- Tech : Chile blackout. Research gets hit in the US. Feedback frames. Reading data from DNA. EUV links pulsars to chips. How many drones can a single person pilot. Crypto strategic reserves?
- Business : Corporate foresight. Technofossils. KPMG payday (and linkedin thoughts (FR / UK)). Does UK need abundance.
- Security : Apple and five eyes. DOGE and Privacy. DOGE and Big4s.
- Tech : X37-B.
- Planet : Secret giant river islands. Congo illness.
- AI : Training journalism models. Research on superbugs. Designing weird chips. AI, PMs and Engineers.