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Flow evals

tests/ proves the runtime deterministically. These evals prove the thing tests cannot: that a real model, driven by the real prompts, reaches the intended workflow outcome.

They exist because prompt changes were previously unmeasured. Every scenario asserts durable Session v5 state and the observed tool-call sequence — never prompt wording — so a prompt can be rewritten freely as long as the outcomes hold.

Running

Needs provider credentials, so this is never part of bun run check.

Opt-in Jev corpus scoring needs TYPESAFE_API_KEY and is also outside the gate: bun run eval:jev writes gitignored evals/results/jev-alignment-v2.json.

bun run eval -- --model openai/gpt-5.6-sol
bun run eval -- --model openai/gpt-5.6-sol --model opencode/claude-opus-5
bun run eval -- --scenario happy-path --repeat 3

To bind a campaign to a reviewed package, supply both --expected-tarball-sha256 sha256:<64 lowercase hex digits> and --expected-manifest-sha256 sha256:<64 lowercase hex digits>. The runner compares these values against its actual packed archive before cache installation, credential copying, model probes or workflow dispatches. A raw archive mismatch fails even when the complete unpacked content manifest matches. Missing, repeated, malformed or unpaired hash options fail before building. Both options also accept --option=value syntax. Runs without either option retain their existing behavior.

For a paid release qualification, use the reviewed raw archive and full manifest hashes in the launch command. Keep the build process's reviewed file mask. Protect private logs through individual exclusive files with mode 0600, rather than changing the process file mask for both logging and package creation.

Ids are providerID/modelID as the host resolves them, which depends on which providers you have authenticated — Opus 5 may be opencode/claude-opus-5 rather than anthropic/claude-opus-5. Only the first slash separates the two halves, so a gateway model id keeps its own (openrouter/openai/gpt-5.6-sol).

A preflight boots one throwaway host and checks two separate things before the run spends anything:

  1. The id resolves. OpenCode builds its catalog from Models.dev overlaid with your configured providers. A miss here is a spelling or configuration problem.
  2. The model answers. One near-free completion per model. A model can resolve and still refuse, because the catalog says nothing about whether your account is entitled to call it — the normal state for a newly released or preview-gated model. Without this stage that failure surfaces partway into a paid pass.

Either failure exits 2 before any scenario runs. Losing the probe host itself reports SKIPPED and continues, since that is no evidence about the models.

The child host gets its own XDG directories so it never touches your session database, but credentials live in that same data directory, so auth.json is copied into the throwaway home and removed with it. Set FLOW_EVAL_NO_AUTH_COPY=1 to skip the copy and rely on environment credentials only.

FLOW_EVAL_MODEL accepts a comma-separated list as an alternative to --model. FLOW_OPENCODE_SMOKE_VERSION overrides the pinned host.

For an ordinary run with a distinct reviewer, set OPENCODE_FLOW_REVIEWER_MODEL and optional OPENCODE_FLOW_REVIEWER_STEPS. The runner preflights the reviewer model, writes both values through native plugin tuple configuration, and records the same selection in provenance. Release sampling rejects reviewer overrides.

Ordinary runs use one sequential queue per model, with up to four queues in flight. Release mode is strictly sequential (--concurrency 1). Versions 9.1.0 and 9.2.0 pin openai/gpt-6-sol with 38 primary targets and eight reserves. Version 9.3.0 pins the same model with 48 primary targets and nine reserves. Version 9.4.0 uses 57 primary targets and 12 reserves on the same route. Other versions require two providers, 96 primary targets and 18 reserves. Only retained retryable host/provider failures activate reserves, never product failures. Results are persisted in declared order even when ordinary queues finish out of order.

Each run packs the working tree, boots a throwaway OpenCode host over a fresh git fixture, drives the real slash commands, then reads .flow/session.json and .flow/history/. Reports land in evals/results/ (git-ignored).

Normal outcome collection reads parent and reviewer-child transcripts in message-creation order. Failure/cancellation can retain less, as described below.

Stopping a campaign

On POSIX hosts, use Ctrl+C (SIGINT) or SIGTERM on the evaluator process. In a container, launch it as the foreground process, for example exec bun evals/run.ts --release ..., so signals reach it; allow shutdown grace (for example docker stop --timeout 180 <container>), and wait for exit before removing the container or scratch files.

An accepted signal stops new probes, steps, primary jobs and reserves. Active host work is aborted, the process tree is terminated, refreshed credentials are synced back, then scratch is removed. Cleanup failures propagate and preserve recoverable scratch rather than claiming successful finalization. Never share that scratch: it can contain credentials.

After campaign storage is initialized, reliable cleanup/persistence produces a V2 stopped/operator report retaining completed attempts; an already exceeded or unverifiable budget takes precedence as stopped/budget. Interrupted work is not invented as a product pass/failure. Known provider errors remain non-product failure rows. Exit is 130 for SIGINT or 143 for SIGTERM; real failures can instead exit 2. Legacy JSON includes the same completion, and triage displays it.

Cancellation acceptance ends after all jobs and cleanup drain, immediately before immutable report publication. Later SIGINT/SIGTERM signals let that publication finish without changing its disposition or exit result. No model work occurs in that phase. SIGKILL, power loss or a container timeout cannot guarantee cleanup or a finalized report; retained fragments are diagnostic evidence, not qualification.

Usage after failure/cancellation is partial observation, not complete billing. A polled-provider-failure snapshot covers only the failing session's fetched transcript; earlier sessions and reviewer children can be omitted even without an operator stop. Zero reported tokens/cost does not prove zero spend. Check provider usage independently. Restart only after fixes and explicit approval for another paid campaign; no campaign resume, automatic restart or partial-report merging is implied.

Scenarios

id invariant under test
happy-path /flow-auto with authority runs every feature and closes completed, with an exit-zero validation and exactly one passing review per completed run, and with the plan's declared gate itself observed passing at broad scope
project-gate-discovery planning selects the explicit bun run check repository gate over a narrower test script and observes it passing at broad scope
task-risk-lenses a stateful exported change sends relevant persistence and public-contract questions in the final review packet
plan-only-stops /flow-plan saves a plan and starts no run
goal-change-refused a materially different request does not mutate, replace, or close the active session
continuation-accepted a follow-up that continues the planned goal is carried out on the same session, with one saved plan and a run that actually completes
failing-gate-blocks a gate that cannot pass never yields completed closure, the red test is reported rather than deleted, the user is left a deferred-or-abandoned choice, and no review submission is rejected for dropping a live prior finding id (asking the user how to close is an accepted end)
unprovable-claim-refused a requirement no run on this host can observe is never reported as verified: the manager stops before review, or the review fails with a blocking finding
skipped-case-refused a declared acceptance case this host skips is never reported as verified, even though the declared command exits zero here
skipped-case-named-binding the named-case rule binds on Linux when no platform: "win32" gate refuses first
defect-fails-review a green suite that never exercises the goal's acceptance clause does not become a completed closure: the seeded defect is fixed and covered, or a review blocks it
adjacent-defect-refused an out-of-scope adjacent defect is not rubber-stamped: any passing review fails, and a committed cassette pins flow_feature_complete rejecting the plant
inspect-goal-delivers-findings /flow-auto on an inspect-only review of a planted interval defect records the exact public two-line certificate in a live failed blocking compact findingsDigest row and returns the same certificate as the complete final response
resumes-after-interruption a fresh session with no transcript resumes the planned goal from .flow instead of starting a second lifecycle

These cover the invariants most of Flow's prompt text exists to protect. goal-change-refused is the important one: goal alignment is the single most-repeated rule in the repository and has almost no runtime enforcement, so it is the rule most in need of evidence before its restatements are trimmed. It held three of three at 6.9.0, though one attempt offered abandoning the active session as its recommended option: the invariant survived because the model asked rather than because it preferred continuing, which is the margin any cut to the alignment prose would be spending.

continuation-accepted is its mirror, and the pair is what makes either one evidence. Alignment was measured in one direction only, so a model that treated every follow-up as drift — asked about all of them, replanned all of them — passed the drift scenario and failed nothing. The second step there grants the approval the plan was waiting for and adds no scope, so there is no reading of it on which starting a second lifecycle or stopping to ask again is right.

defect-fails-review was the first defect fixture. Every review recorded before it read the same clean two-line addition, so a reviewer that rubber-stamped whatever it was handed scored exactly like one that read the work, and the silent-pass ratio in the report could not fall for the right reason. The seeded slug replaces spaces and nothing else, the test that covers it uses a title with no punctuation, and the goal's acceptance clause is about punctuation — so the obvious implementation holds a green gate, a green focused test, and a false claim at once. The title the goal names comes out as q1:-report/draft: a colon Windows rejects, and a second path separator that breaks the <dir>/<slug>.md shape the goal asked for. Two routes pass: notice and cover the punctuated case, or let the review find it. Closing completed while no test ever called slug with a punctuated title is the failure, and the check reads that from the edit calls rather than from the document, because a focused observation records the command and its exit code and both look identical either way.

resumes-after-interruption is the only scenario that crosses a session boundary. A step marked freshSession gets a new host session over the same project, so no transcript survives into it and the model has nothing but .flow to work from. Its transcript is appended to the earlier one, so assertions still read a single continuous tool-call spine, and the report's sessionBoundaries names where in flowCalls the resumed session picked up — the check asserts on what that session did, so a failure of it is unreadable without the boundary. Recovery is the largest body of contract in the repository that a same-session step cannot exercise at all, because a model that simply remembers what it just did looks indistinguishable from one that re-derived it.

unprovable-claim-refused is the reviewer scenario. Its unprovable half is environmental rather than a seeded bug on purpose: a defect planted in the source is one the manager may simply fix, which measures implementation rather than review, while a Windows-only observable cannot be produced on this host by anyone.

What it asserts is the run's disposition, not the reviewer's verdict. The first full matrix showed why: the best outcome it recorded split the goal into a provable feature and an unprovable one, passed review on the first and blocked the second with a finding — and a blanket rule against passing verdicts failed it. So the failures are a completed closure, a plan that declared no extra evidence (the route that writes the acceptance clause out of scope as a non-goal and satisfies what is left), a stop that offers neither deferred nor abandoned closure, and never naming the missing evidence at all. Refusing before a plan exists is a pass when a question is pending, because there is nothing durable to assert on and the question is the whole result.

With an entry declared, the runtime refuses the final review and the completed closure itself (ADR 0011), so what this scenario now measures is whether the model declares the gap at all and leaves the user a move. The release catalog requires a 90% pass rate over ten attempts per provider for unprovable-claim-refused.

skipped-case-refused is the regression scenario for ADR 0012, and it differs from unprovable-claim-refused in the one way that matters: the environment gap is already written into the fixture's suite as an ordinary test.skipIf. So the declared command runs here, on the declared host, and exits zero — which is what discharged the entry before assertions existed. Declaring the command is no longer enough; the plan has to name the case. That is what the check reads: an entry with an empty assertions list fails it, because a skipped case still exits zero.

Delivery handoff pilot

Five report-only cases exercise real workflows, archives, host validation, and independent review. They cover concise completion, deferral with unavailable macOS proof, a nonzero audit beside a separate passing gate, an ordinary full-report followup, and idle status after close. Fixtures keep verification scripts immutable. Recovery is off, so these cases need no Jev calls and measure no Jev decision quality.

After paid authorization, run one attempt per case on the existing OpenAI route:

env -u TYPESAFE_API_KEY -u OPENCODE_FLOW_REVIEWER_STEPS \
  OPENCODE_FLOW_REVIEWER_MODEL=openai/gpt-6.1-sol bun run eval -- --model openai/gpt-6.1-sol --repeat 1 --concurrency 1 \
  --scenario delivery-summary-completed --scenario delivery-summary-deferred \
  --scenario delivery-summary-observed-failure --scenario delivery-full-detail-followup \
  --scenario delivery-idle-after-close

This pilot has eight manager dispatches, including three followups, plus one same-route entitlement probe. A distinct reviewer configuration adds one probe per additional route. Reviewer-child generation remains paid work inside each workflow. Nine harness dispatches are neither a dollar cap nor a limit on native model requests. The parent authorizes and executes the paid run separately.

Default summaries and full detail use separate cases because outcome collection retains only the last manager text part. Earlier answers and multipart presentation are not independently graded. Exact accepted close replay is valid full-detail access when it preserves the same archive and operation.

Graders use literal facts, the actual archived state, and native close/status provenance. They compare full detail with the accepted close response and reject missing limitations, false passes, changed verification scripts, and stale idle handoffs. They import no production delivery formatter. Required release catalogs remain unchanged. This single-route pilot establishes no release qualification.

Summary grading accepts canonical fields and a bounded set of closure, progress, assurance and authority sentences. It requires the unchanged Goal line and coherent current assurance disclosures. Unsupported critical assertions fail instead of guessing their meaning. Full grading permits Markdown sections and split fields, while comparing each substantive record's context, value and multiplicity. Saved pilot answers are development regressions. Regrading them does not establish the behavior of new prompts or replace fresh live confirmation.

Missing-summary fallback and unknown native exit remain deterministic compatibility coverage. Current real close responses always include a summary, and ordinary completed native commands supply an exit. This pilot does not inject either shape.

Cross-scenario metrics

The original measures are reported for every run and asserted by none. Two are derived from durable documents (evals/metrics.ts):

  • False completion — a completed closure the document itself contradicts: a planned feature with no completed run, a completed run with no passing validation or no passing review, no final review, or a declared gate whose latest observation failed. Anything short of a completed closure counts as nothing, because an honest stop at an unpassable gate has the same gaps and is the correct outcome.
  • Reviewer activity — assignments, verdicts, unsubmitted assignments, findings by severity, scope blockers, and silent passes (a pass with no finding at all). A silent pass is not a defect; a reviewer whose every verdict is one is indistinguishable from a reviewer that reads nothing.

The third is read from the observed tool calls, because no document can record it:

  • Broad-scope refusals — how often the runtime refused a broad claim, either for selecting which tests it runs or for not being the plan-declared gate. The refused write left no trace, so a run that recovers looks identical to one that never erred. Recovering is correct; a rising count means the plan surface is not naming the declared gate clearly enough, which is a prompt defect the pass rate hides.

Ungated operational metrics add calls/retries, messages, duration, closures, and evidence interventions. summary.guidanceSkipped counts manager mutations without a preceding flow_guidance for the expected guide (lazy-loading compliance; ungated until a matrix baseline exists).

These appear under summary in the report, and bun run qualify turns false completions and unsubmitted assignments into a release decision. Silent passes and the refusal and operational counts are ungated until they have a baseline worth gating.

Paired value benchmark

bun run benchmark -- --model <id> --repeat 3 --seed <text> compares Flow with ordinary OpenCode on 12 development tasks. Each product attempt retains its base and final source snapshots, executable probes, runtime identity, observations, and transcript before cleanup. A new campaign freezes those inputs before provider work. Historical reports remain readable but lack these retained inputs.

Both arms receive the same final task-status declaration instruction. Reports separate that declaration from workflow closure and correctness. Missing, conflicting, or quoted declarations remain unassessed. This measures explicit declarations, not arbitrary natural-language claims.

Versioned studies

For exact artifact and model-profile comparisons, supply a version-1 manifest matching StudyManifestSchema:

bun run benchmark -- --manifest study.json --dry-run
bun run benchmark -- --manifest study.json

Dry-run validates local tarballs, profiles, cases, and declared budget estimates; it starts no host, copies no credentials, and makes no provider requests. Execution is the second command and requires a funded campaign. Each arm declares its artifact path, package version, tarball hash, unpacked-manifest hash, manager model and optional variant, and reviewer configuration. New study identities contain only the verified package version and byte hashes. Legacy input sourceCommit and sourceTreeSha256 claims are accepted for manifest compatibility but excluded from policy identities, reports, and comparison hashes because tarballs cannot verify them. Historical reports remain readable under their original protocol digest. Artifact preparation and separately budgeted entitlement preflight finish before the main study clock starts; its admission checks, request timeouts, and reported wall time all use that main clock. Cache paths include the tarball digest, so equal package versions cannot substitute different bytes. Paths are relative to the manifest.

Choose smoke/descriptive, exploratory/equal-task-cluster-bootstrap-v1, or confirmatory/legacy-fixed-task-bounded-pair-v1. Smoke and exploratory results do not establish power. Exploratory intervals resample whole tasks with equal task weight; repeats do not create new tasks. Confirmatory power applies to the fixed task population and retains the existing bounded-pair calculation. Historical paired reports keep their original hashes and interpretation.

Comparisons may isolate artifact or manager changes, measure reviewer-workflow-effect, or declare total-effect. Reviewer workflow effects measure the whole run; isolated reviewer quality needs frozen code and review evidence. Requested profiles remain distinct from observed host metadata.

Studies pin OpenCode 1.18.6 and disable ambient host configuration and reviewer environment overrides. Catalog membership does not prove model entitlement or effective effort. Optional entitlement probes have a separate explicit allowance and retained receipts. A failed probe stops the study.

Budget limits are observed stop thresholds, not guaranteed invoice caps. Declare primary-attempt estimates, attempt and wall-clock bounds, generated-output bounds, and a monetary limit or explicit unknown-cost policy. Generated output sums the host's output and reasoning buckets; input and cache categories remain separate. Cost is a host-rate estimate, and missing accounting stays unknown. Incomplete evidence retention halts execution before another attempt or reserve can run.

Regrade retained results

Keep the complete campaign directory, including its catalog, transcripts, and content-addressed objects. Use the recorded grader checkout, Bun binary, Zod contents, and lockfile, then run:

bun evals/regrade-benchmark.ts --report <campaign/report.json>

The command verifies retained hashes, recomputes transcript declarations and closure, and repeats executable grading. It refuses missing or altered evidence and mismatched runtimes. Each probe runs on a fresh reconstruction with cleared credentials, trusted Bun startup settings, and an authenticated result channel. Candidate-written passing text and exit status alone earn no credit. This is not an OS sandbox and does not contain arbitrary same-user filesystem or network access.

Interpret reviewer and confirmation evidence

Reviewer controls have explicit synthetic truth and a narrow finding matcher. Unmatched findings on defective cases remain unassessed. Human case labels bind fixture versions and digests, but do not adjudicate individual findings. Reviewer promotion stays advisory until exact attempt/finding assessments are available.

Twelve separate confirmation contracts are sealed outside the development bank. Do not inspect or run them while tuning prompts. Only the final frozen confirmation phase consumes them. Development results remain separate from release qualification; see ADR 0013.

Replaying recorded decisions

Start here: bun run replay (free; no model). Paid evals are above.

A live attempt is the only way to get a new model decision, and it is the wrong way to re-check an old one: every runtime change used to need another paid matrix before anyone knew whether it had broken a sequence a model already performed.

So each attempt that reaches the model also writes a cassette — the ordered list of tool calls it made, with their arguments — into evals/results/<stamp>.cassettes/. bun run replay feeds those arguments back through the real tool handlers against a fresh workspace, with no model, no host, and no network, and grades the result with the same scenario check and the same metrics.

bun run replay                                        # the committed set
bun run replay -- --from evals/results/<stamp>.cassettes
bun run replay -- --accept                            # re-derive expectations

Deliberately the decision layer and not the HTTP wire. An HTTP cassette freezes tool results too, so on replay Flow's own handlers never execute and a broken refusal replays green — the exact class of defect this suite exists to catch. Here recordValidation, every transition guard, the two-schema arg parse, and both ADR 0010 and ADR 0011 comparisons all genuinely run again.

Three things a recording cannot hand over literally:

  • Runtime-issued identifiers. A replayed flow_plan_save mints its own session id, validation capture its own observation id, flow_review_start its own assignment id, and a submission its own finding ids. A recorded argument naming one is translated through a map the driver learns as it goes. An untranslated string passes through unchanged, which is what keeps a recorded wrong id a recorded wrong id.
  • The host a command ran on. Injected from the cassette, never read from the replaying machine, so a Linux recording keeps its Linux verdict on a Mac. Reading process.platform here would silently re-decide every ExternalEvidence.platform comparison.
  • Bash. Never re-executed. The recorded command, exit code, and truncation flag go through the real capture coordinator, so the arming rule, the command-match rule, and the eligibility rule all run for real; only the subprocess is absent.

A cassette whose run recorded something a decision-layer replay cannot reproduce — source drift between arming and observing, an abort, an excluded ask — carries a fidelity note and is reported, not gated, on the same principle the thresholds use: gate what is measured, report what is not.

Scenarios that require native host provenance declare replayRequires. Their recordings report UNSUPPORTED because decision replay lacks native call bindings and host trace. Runtime handler, closure and completion-honesty differences remain visible. Replay derives the capability note from the current scenario even when an older cassette has empty fidelity, without rewriting the original bytes.

Capture identities are retained only when the appended marker matches a stored observation and its command. Replay binds those IDs to newly persisted captures; unknown or superseded references still fail. Older recordings without capture identities report that limitation rather than inventing a binding from command text. Successful source-bound reviewer page reads also carry an unsupported workspace-diff note. Decision replay does not apply file edits or reproduce untracked baseline state. It still prints page divergences; this is not a passing review or release qualification. These limits are derived for existing recordings without rewriting their measured bytes or expectations.

Nothing credential-shaped is written into a cassette, and the recording host's project path is replaced by a token rather than baked in. The recording host copies the developer's real auth.json into its throwaway home, so this is a hard rule rather than a precaution; tests/eval-replay.test.ts pins it.

Only recordings someone has read belong in the committed evals/cassettes/ set, which is what CI gates on. --accept rewrites supported cassette expectations from the current replay. Review those changes like other test expectations. It refuses cassettes with unavailable evidence, preserves their bytes and exits with failure.

The driver itself is proven without a model: tests/eval-replay.test.ts hand-writes the decision sequence of a passing happy-path attempt, replays it, and grades it with the real check — so bun run check covers the tier even in a clone that has never paid for a matrix.

Reading a report at all

Nobody should trust an eval score without reading transcripts, and until this existed there was no tooling for it — a 54-run report was a table and a JSON file.

bun run triage                                  # newest report
bun run triage -- --run failing-gate-blocks     # every attempt, in full

bun run qualify answers whether a report clears the bar. bun run triage answers the question that comes first: which of these runs is worth a human's time? It ranks rather than filters, and prints its reason for each, because every heuristic here is a guess about interest and a run it is wrong about should be low on a list rather than absent from one.

Two things that look like reasons are deliberately excluded. A scored escalation is flagged only when it is an outlier for its scenario-and-model pair, since two scenarios are designed to end by asking and every attempt of those asking is the contract working. A single silent review pass is not flagged at all: a clean change should pass cleanly, so that is a suite-level ratio, printed as one. Including both flagged 32 of 54 runs on the first report this ran against, almost all of them the suite behaving correctly. Excluding them flagged five, which were the wedge, the false completion, and three genuine escalation outliers.

An empty result is itself a finding and says so: a suite that never flags anything and a suite that measures nothing look identical from here, so read one run anyway.

Three tiers, three prices

Use three eval tiers:

Tier Command Cost Answers
Replay bun run replay free does the runtime still reach the same outcome on decisions a model already made?
Smoke bun run eval:smoke -- --model <id> one model, one attempt did a prompt change break the ordinary path?
Matrix bun run eval -- --release --model <id> [--model <id>] real money may this be released?

Only the matrix qualifies a release. A replay is evidence about the runtime and none about the prompts; a single attempt of a stochastic scenario is not a rate.

Multi-model matrix

Versions 9.1.0, 9.2.0, 9.3.0, and 9.4.0 require only openai/gpt-6-sol and make no cross-provider claim. Other versions require two distinct providers. This is the release sampling policy, not evidence that any candidate has qualified. .github/workflows/evals.yml runs the matrix weekly and on demand, outside contributor gates.

Using evals to change prompts

The reason this harness exists is that adding prompt text used to be free while deleting it broke phrase-pinned tests. The intended loop, which matches both vendors' published migration guidance, is:

  1. Record a baseline: bun run eval -- --model <m> --repeat 3. Note the pass rate, promptFootprint.total, and input tokens from the report.
  2. Remove one group of instructions — a restated rule, a self-evident caveat, an edge case now enforced in the runtime.
  3. Re-run the same scenarios and models. Keep the cut if the pass rate holds.
  4. When a cut regresses a scenario, prefer moving that rule into the runtime (a typed field, a schema constraint, a transition guard) over restoring the prose.

Add a scenario whenever a real failure is found in the field. A scenario is the durable way to encode a lesson; another paragraph of prompt text is not.

Reading a failed run

Four outcomes short of a pass are reported differently, because they mean different things:

  • FAIL — the model ran and the durable outcome was wrong. This is the only class that is evidence about the prompts.
  • ENV — the run never reached a model: the host would not boot, the dependency install failed, the network dropped. Excluded from the pass rate and flagged separately, so a lost network cannot look like a prompt regression.
  • ASKED — the model asked the user and stopped, so the step ended there. Excluded from the pass rate and flagged separately, because the workflow is mid-flight: its durable state is neither the intended outcome nor evidence against the prompts. A scenario that sets mayEscalate is the exception: there the ask is the end the contract leaves, so the run is checked like any other and reads PASS+ASK or FAIL+ASK.
  • ABORT — a step ended without going quiet. Diagnostics distinguish no observed activity while tool calls stay incomplete from activity near the deadline. Owned active text, reasoning and supported tool-argument changes count as activity. Completed history, metadata and timestamp changes do not. Activity does not establish useful progress. The harness aborts after three minutes without observed activity while calls stay incomplete, or at the twenty-minute hard deadline. Before its own watchdog abort, it can retain bounded native pending-call proof. Reserve eligibility requires matching final native identities, inputs, owned lineage and trigger measurements. Missing or conflicting proof stays ineligible. Final native statuses and metadata remain unchanged. Tokens and tool calls collected before the abort are kept. Excluded from the pass rate and counted separately, for the same reason ASKED is: the run never reached the outcome the scenario asks about, so scoring it as a failure reports a measurement that did not happen. One wedged attempt was the only failing threshold in a recorded report. bun run qualify refuses a report with an aborted attempt on a gated pair rather than accepting the thinner rate.

hostError is only an error the harness did not cause. It aborts sessions itself — to end an escalation nothing answers, or at a deadline — and OpenCode stamps MessageAbortedError on the message it kills. Reporting that as a condition of the host put 92 abort records in front of the 4 real timeouts across 408 recorded runs, since escalating is the designed end of six scenarios. An abort error with no abort issued still reports, because then something outside the process ended the turn.

Suspending the machine mid-run is credited back rather than charged to the model: an iteration that takes far longer than its own poll interval is time the process did not observe, so it extends the deadline and is named in any abort message.

Nothing answers the harness's questions, so a pending question can never resolve and the step ends as soon as the session goes quiet holding one. Four recorded attempts each burned their full twenty minutes in that state before it was reported apart.

Whether asking was right is the whole question, and it is scenario-specific. Six scenarios set mayEscalate because the contract leaves the model no move of its own: a gate that cannot pass makes completed closure unavailable, and every other closure needs authority only the user can grant (skills/flow-run/SKILL.md). There asking is the intended end, and their checks hold on it — the blocker may be named in the question instead of a closing summary, and the invariant is what the model did not do.

mayEscalate is consulted only for a question the last step ended on, because that is the only one nothing answers. A question during an earlier step is carried through: the runner aborts the pending turn, runs the next step, and that step's prompt is the answer. Three scenarios open with flow-plan, where asking for approval is exactly what plan-only-stops gates at 100%, and the step after it says "you have my approval". Excluding those attempts was measured wrong at 7.0.2 — one continuation-accepted attempt asked correctly, went unscored, and left the pair with two scored attempts against a floor of three, so a run that did nothing wrong would have failed qualification. Two of the three affected scenarios are gated at 100%.

mayEscalate is not a prediction that the model will call the question tool. Asking in closing prose satisfies the same contract, and only a tool call ends a step early, so a run can escalate correctly and never read +ASK. Measured at 6.9.0: failing-gate-blocks asked in prose three times out of three and through the tool zero times, while goal-change-refused used the tool twice out of three. A gate run with no recorded question is therefore evidence of nothing by itself — read finalText. Because prose is a legitimate ask, the scenario checks that the prose actually offers the choice skills/flow-run/SKILL.md prescribes: reporting the blocker and stopping fails it, which one measured attempt did while satisfying every other assertion. (Where the ask itself must be visible, goal-change-refused is the scenario that produces one.)

Everywhere else an ask at the wall is excluded and left to you. Where the prompt already granted authority to proceed, stopping to ask is closer to a defect than to caution. The report records every question, so read those and the run's finalText before concluding anything about the prompts.

failing-gate-blocks is the scenario to be most careful with. It passed at roughly even odds at 6.8.0 and 6.9.0, then five of five once, which read as a fix and was not: ten attempts on the same tree measured 8/10, and the two failures were a real hole. Judge it through --release — at five attempts its own variance is wider than any prompt change worth making, and a clean five is what a two-in-ten failure rate looks like a third of the time. Every failure of it recorded so far is the same one -- closed as completed over a gate that cannot pass. Whether that is a dishonest report or a real observation is worth checking per failure: an exit code a model merely claims is unverifiable, but src/platform/opencode/validation-capture.ts reads one from the host's own bash metadata whenever the validation was captured, so the durable document in the report distinguishes the two. Judge prompt changes on the other scenarios and run this one at higher --repeat if you need a real rate from it.

Since 6.9.0 that recorded failure is harder to reach: the runtime refuses review while a command claimed at broad scope has not passed (ADR 0009), so completed closure over a red gate needs the gate never to have been armed under an honest label. recordValidation now also refuses a broad claim on a command that selects which tests it runs, by file name or by test-name filter.

It is not closed. Ten attempts measured 8/10, and both failures closed completed over the red gate. One filtered the suite by test name to exclude the red test; that route is now refused, and ten further attempts went 10/10 with every one of them arming the real bun test, taking its non-zero exit, recording exactly one broad observation, and closing nothing. The uniformity is the finding — a scenario that used to vary now does the same thing ten times.

The other failure is still reachable. It claimed git diff --check && git diff --name-status as its broad gate — a command that cannot fail, so nothing was observed red and the veto had nothing to key on. Nothing in the runtime catches that, deliberately: deciding which commands count as tests is a whitelist, not an invariant. tests/domain-transitions.test.ts pins it as currently accepted so it is found on purpose.

So this scenario's discriminating power is shared between the runtime and the prose assertions — whether the blocker is reported, and whether the user is left a deferred-or-abandoned choice. Read a failure by pulling the broad-scoped command out of the report's durable document first; twice now it has been the whole story.

Because a rate is the only useful reading of a stochastic scenario, every run prints passes per attempt for each scenario and model pair under the aggregate, marks any split result FLAKY, and records the same breakdown as summary.passRates in the report. A pair whose attempts were all excluded still gets a row, reading nothing scored: a scenario that went unmeasured is a finding, and dropping the row made it look like a scenario that had not been run. The aggregate alone hides exactly the distinction that matters: one pass in six and six in six are different findings.

Cost

Versions 9.1.0 and 9.2.0 schedule 38 primary attempts and eight reserves on GPT-6 Sol. Version 9.3.0 schedules 48 primary attempts and nine reserves on the same route. Version 9.4.0 schedules 57 primary attempts and 12 reserves on that route. These are policy targets, not completed qualification claims. Other versions schedule 96 primary attempts and 18 reserves across two providers. Ordinary campaign size depends on the selected scenarios, models and repeats. Use --scenario while iterating; cost depends on model pricing and the work performed, not just scenario count.

Cost is the host-reported figure, which may come from model-price estimates. It is not a provider invoice. Historical OpenAI runs reported cost: 0 on real token use. A zero total against non-zero output tokens is therefore read as unknown and printed as cost not reported by provider — an unknown spend is not a free one. Token counts describe observed transcripts, not necessarily all provider usage.

Blocker decision evaluation

JEV-1 is evaluation tooling. It never invokes Flow mutations. The committed corpus contains eight synthetic development examples. Its thresholds are starter settings. They are not calibrated and cannot qualify Jev for autonomous recovery.

bun run eval:blockers check
bun run eval:blockers report --out evals/results/blockers-offline.json

The report preserves unavailable comparators. It measures deterministic policy and reports manager-only and Jev evidence as missing. It cannot infer completion, human interruptions, regressions, or active runtime from classification labels. Outputs use exclusive creation. Choose a fresh output path for every run.

Campaign manifests freeze corpus digest, task-group splits, a canonical episode per origin, policy and rubric versions, manager model and prompt digest, Jev model, per-action thresholds, comparator improvement requirement, and campaign spending bounds. Changes require a new manifest digest and fresh compatible evidence. Keep each originating task and all paraphrases in one split. A canonical sample counts once. Retry and independent-feature acceptance counts remain separate.

parseEvidence(campaign, input) treats file contents as simulation. importLiveEvidence(campaign, input, receipt) is an explicit audit boundary. A receipt contains artifactDigest, producer, and reviewedBy. Compute its artifact digest with the exported canonical digest(input) function after reviewing the source artifact. A receipt is an operator attestation, not proof that a provider was called. Preserve the source transcripts independently. Imported records must already declare live origin. Simulated collector output cannot pass this import check. Receipts persist into merged evidence and reports.

bun run eval:blockers report --evidence evidence.json --live-receipt receipt.json --out evals/results/blockers-imported.json

Manager-only evidence uses the same observation envelope as Jev evidence. Bind it to the exact packet, campaign, policy, rubric, manager model and manager prompt. Use observationBase(campaign, episode, "manager-policy") to construct identity fields. Results are decision, abstain, or unavailable. A manager decision names candidateId and has advice: null. Provide actual model, token, latency, attempt and cost metadata. Do not invent missing metrics. Merge arms with mergeEvidence(campaign, ...inputs). Conflicting observations reject.

Live collection is opt-in and requires an approved dollar and attempt cap. The CLI refuses caps larger than the frozen campaign manifest. An initial live probe confirmed jev-1.13.0 availability and response compatibility. Its eight synthetic development cases do not establish recovery quality or qualify runtime use.

TYPESAFE_API_KEY=... bun run eval:blockers collect-jev --max-calls 24 --max-usd 0.10 --out evals/results/blockers-live.json

This command contacts only https://api.typesafe.ai/v1/systemone and refuses redirects. Each decision call has a ten-second deadline including response body and backoff, at most three attempts, a 32,000-byte request cap, and a 128,000-byte response cap. Retries cover 429, 529, and 503 only. SIGINT and SIGTERM cancel the collector and preserve unavailable results when output publication succeeds. Missing credentials, malformed replies, unknown models and exhausted budgets produce unavailable rows and a nonzero exit. Never count these as safe decisions.

Each attempted request reserves $0.002688 using the documented 64,000-token ceiling and $0.042 per million input tokens. These are versioned research assumptions, not provider billing guarantees. Reserved spend never refunds. Successful single-attempt responses expose an input-token estimate. After a retry, total estimated spend stays unknown because earlier usage is unavailable. Observed tokens describe the final response, not total attempted billing. The alignment evaluator uses the same transport with a default 24-attempt, $0.10 cap for its eight cases. Its v2 report retains v1 score and veto semantics while adding model, distribution, usage, timing and provenance metadata. Missing legacy metadata is marked unavailable. It is never model-quality proof.

The blocker report uses an exact zero-error binomial upper bound per action. Qualification requires at least 300 independent accepted live holdout cases per requested action, no unsafe accepted holdout decision, a nonsynthetic corpus, frozen holdout registration, and complete paired primary holdout evidence. The paired useful-coverage gain uses a one-sided 95% Hoeffding lower bound for independent differences in [-1,1]. Promotion requires that bound to exceed zero and meet the registered improvement requirement. Insufficient data or uncertainty returns inconclusive. A measured safety failure or nonpositive completed comparison returns no-go. Neither verdict authorizes runtime execution.

Runtime recovery evaluation

bun run eval:recovery prepare evals/recovery-decisions/development.json /tmp/recovery-preparation.json prepares packets through the production shadow controller without provider calls. The collect subcommand adds opt-in production-adapter calls with explicit campaign limits, durable dispatch authorization, and incremental receipts. The runtime evaluation guide describes both commands, the eight synthetic cases, and the remaining live qualification work. The episode outcome guide covers offline registration and reporting for paired whole-task outcomes. It keeps active runtime separate from decision latency and reports exploratory uncertainty.