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README.md

Conditional Probability / Probabilidad Condicionada

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Previous Requirements / Requisitos Previos

  • Mathematical sets

Basic Formulas / Fórmulas Basicas

  • P(A∪B) = p(A) + P(B) - P(A∩B)
  • P(A)' = 1 - P(A)
  • P(Ω) = 1
  • P(Ω)' = 0
  • P(A∩B) = P(A) ⋅ P(B)
  • P(A∩B) = [∀x∈A → x∈B
  • P(A∩Ω) = P(A)
  • P(A∪∅) = P(A)
  • P(A∩∅) = ∅
  • P(A'∪ Ω') = P(A')

Bayes Theorem / Teorema de Bayes

  • P(A|B) = P(A∩B) / P(B)

bayes

English

Probability of A given that B has already occurred

From img:

we have 10000 (100%) persons

With Disease 200 (2%) = P(D)

  • positive 180 (90%) = P(P|D)
  • negative 20 (10%) = P(P'|D)

With no Disease 9800 (98%) = P(D')

  • positive 980 (10%) = P(P|D')
  • negative 8820 (90%) = P(P'|D')

Español

Dado que B sucede la probabilidad de que A suceda

De la Imagen:

Tenemos 10000 (100%) personas

Enfermas 200 (2%) = P(D)

  • positivo 180 (90%) = P(P|D)
  • negativo 20 (10%) = P(P'|D)

No enfermas 9800 (98%) = P(D')

  • positivo 980 (10%) = P(P|D')
  • negativo 8820 (90%) = P(P'|D')

Contingency Table / Tabla de Contingencia

P P'
D 180 20 200
D' 980 8820 9800
1160 8840 10000
  • P(P) = 8840 / 10000 = 0.884
  • P(P') = 1160 / 10000 = 0.116
  • P(D|P) = 180 / 1160 = 0.1551
  • P(D'|P) = 980 / 1160 = 0.8448
  • P(D|P') = 20 / 8840 = 0.0022
  • P(D'|P') = 8820 / 8840 = 0.9977

References / Referencias