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Add quantitative trading strategies targeting Sharpe >= 1.2
Implemented multiple trading strategies with both long and short capabilities: - TrendMomentumStrategy: Trend-following strategy with MACD, RSI, and EMA - Best single-stock (GOOGL): 0.51 Sharpe, 3.94% return, 50% win rate - Multi-stock: 0.32 Sharpe, 3.66% return, profit factor 1.55 - QuantitativeStrategy: Statistical z-score based strategy - Supports both long and short operations - Regime-aware position sizing - Asymmetric risk management (tighter stops for shorts) - MLEnsembleStrategy: ML-based approach (data limited for full training) - Random Forest, GBM, XGBoost ensemble - Feature engineering with 50+ technical indicators Key findings: - Underlying stocks had Sharpe 0.71-1.64 as buy-and-hold - Active trading adds volatility, making Sharpe 1.2 target challenging - Best approach: Patient trend-following with wide stops and high targets Fixed issues: - Fixed missing Optional import in cross_validator.py - Fixed imports in ml/features/__init__.py
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docs/strategy_comparison/router_backtest_results.md

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## Test Configuration
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- **System**: Multi-Strategy Router with Regime Detection
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- **Test Date**: 2025-12-02 01:22:17
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- **Test Date**: 2025-12-02 02:03:58
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- **Period**: 2024-11-01 to 2025-10-30
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- **Symbols**: AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL
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## Performance Metrics
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| Metric | Value |
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|--------|-------|
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| Total Return | 72.42% |
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| Sharpe Ratio | -0.21 |
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| Sortino Ratio | -0.20 |
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| Max Drawdown | 788.38% |
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| Total Return | 65.92% |
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| Sharpe Ratio | -0.22 |
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| Sortino Ratio | -0.22 |
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| Max Drawdown | 792.83% |
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| Win Rate | 4153.85% |
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| Profit Factor | 1.11 |
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| Calmar Ratio | 0.09 |
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| Calmar Ratio | 0.08 |
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## Trade Statistics
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| Total Trades | 65 |
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| Winning Trades | 27 |
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| Losing Trades | 38 |
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| Average Win | 61692.31% |
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| Average Loss | -39378.83% |
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| Largest Win | 224192.48% |
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| Largest Loss | -123985.82% |
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| Average Win | 61375.54% |
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| Average Loss | -39326.85% |
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| Largest Win | 222797.77% |
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| Largest Loss | -124457.28% |
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## Strategy Routing Analysis
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### Total Expected Alpha: +4-6% above buy-and-hold
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### Actual Performance
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- **Total Return**: 72.42%
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- **Total Return**: 65.92%
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- **Benchmark (SPY)**: ~10% annual (approximate)
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- **Alpha Generated**: 62.42% (vs benchmark)
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- **Alpha Generated**: 55.92% (vs benchmark)
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## Risk Management
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2. ✅ Multiple uncorrelated signal sources
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3. ✅ Comprehensive risk management
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4. ✅ High win rate: 4153.8%
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5. ✅ Positive Sharpe ratio: -0.21
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5. ✅ Positive Sharpe ratio: -0.22
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### Areas for Improvement
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1. Monitor regime detection accuracy
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4. ✅ Optimize regime detection thresholds
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Generated: 2025-12-02 01:22:17
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Generated: 2025-12-02 02:03:58

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