DOC: Add beeswarm plot to SHAP tutorial

[marcopeix]

Adds a small section to plot a beeswarm plot using shap. Useful to also visualize the density of the features and their associated SHAP values.

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Experiment Results

Experiment 1: air-passengers

Description:

variable	experiment
h	12
season_length	12
freq	MS
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	12.6793	11.0623	47.8333	76
mape	0.027	0.0232	0.0999	0.1425
mse	213.936	199.132	2571.33	10604.2
total_time	0.4992	0.452	0.0045	0.0038

Plot:

Experiment 2: air-passengers

Description:

variable	experiment
h	24
season_length	12
freq	MS
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	58.1031	58.4587	71.25	115.25
mape	0.1257	0.1267	0.1552	0.2358
mse	4040.21	4110.79	5928.17	18859.2
total_time	0.4418	0.4621	0.0042	0.0035

Plot:

Experiment 3: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable	experiment
h	24
season_length	24
freq	H
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	178.293	268.137	269.23	1331.02
mape	0.0234	0.0311	0.0304	0.1692
mse	121586	219496	213677	4.68961e+06
total_time	0.4059	0.565	0.0046	0.0055

Plot:

Experiment 4: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable	experiment
h	168
season_length	24
freq	H
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	465.454	346.978	398.956	1119.26
mape	0.062	0.0436	0.0512	0.1583
mse	834903	403769	656723	3.17316e+06
total_time	0.5109	0.6718	0.0054	0.0048

Plot:

Experiment 5: electricity-multiple-series

Description:

variable	experiment
h	336
season_length	24
freq	H
level	None
n_windows	1

Results:

metric	timegpt-1	timegpt-1-long-horizon	SeasonalNaive	Naive
mae	558.684	459.764	602.926	1340.95
mape	0.0697	0.0565	0.0787	0.17
mse	1.2272e+06	739132	1.61572e+06	6.04619e+06
total_time	0.5707	0.6973	0.0053	0.0049

Plot:

[elephaint]

LGTM!